Use this framework to honestly evaluate your situation and determine how urgently you need to act.
Immediate Risk Indicators (Action needed within 3-6 months):
Organizational Warning Signs:
-
“Efficiency initiatives” or “digital transformation” projects recently announced
-
New AI tools or automation software being piloted or implemented in your department
-
Restructuring or “flattening” of organizational hierarchy discussed or planned
-
Budget pressures with emphasis on “doing more with less”
-
Hiring freezes or elimination of open positions in your area
-
Consultants brought in to analyze processes and recommend “improvements”
Role-Specific Risk Factors:
-
80%+ of your daily tasks involve routine, predictable activities
-
Your work outputs could be measured and replicated by following clear procedures
-
Most of your decisions are based on established rules or guidelines
-
Your role primarily involves data processing, coordination, or basic customer service
-
You rarely interact directly with external customers or clients in complex situations
-
Your expertise is primarily in tools or systems that are being automated
Company Communication Patterns:
-
Leadership frequently mentions AI, automation, or efficiency improvements
-
Your department is being “studied” or “analyzed” by consultants or internal teams
-
New hires in your area have been reduced or eliminated
-
Training focuses on new technologies rather than skill development
-
Your role is being described differently in job postings or organizational charts
Medium-Term Risk Indicators (Action needed within 6-18 months):
Industry-Wide Trends:
-
Your industry is experiencing widespread adoption of AI tools
-
Competitors are publicly announcing AI implementations that affect roles like yours
-
Industry publications frequently discuss automation in your functional area
-
Professional associations are offering retraining programs for your type of role
-
Job postings in your field increasingly require AI collaboration skills
Skill Obsolescence Signals:
-
Younger colleagues are using tools that can do your work faster
-
Your expertise is increasingly available through AI-powered software
-
Training requests for advanced skills in your area are being denied
-
Cross-training opportunities are limited or discouraged
-
Your role is often combined with others or eliminated during turnover
Long-Term Considerations (Planning horizon 1-3+ years):
Strategic Career Positioning:
-
Your industry will likely see major AI transformation, but timeline is unclear
-
Your skills are valuable but need to be repositioned in AI-resistant directions
-
Market opportunities exist for your expertise in alternative career pathways
-
Education or certification could significantly improve your AI-resistance
-
Personal circumstances allow for strategic, planned career transitions
Assessment Questions:
Rate each statement as: High Risk (3 points), Medium Risk (2 points), Low Risk (1 point), Not Applicable (0 points)
-
My daily tasks are mostly routine and follow established procedures
-
My role could be described accurately in a detailed job manual
-
My company is actively implementing AI tools in areas related to my work
-
Most of my decision-making follows clear rules or guidelines
-
I rarely deal with unique, unprecedented situations requiring creative solutions
-
My work primarily involves processing information rather than creating relationships
-
My department has been “studied” for efficiency improvements in the past year
-
I could train someone to do most of my job in less than 6 months
-
My role has been combined with others or eliminated during recent turnover
-
Leadership frequently mentions automation or AI when discussing our department
Scoring:
-
25-30 points: Immediate risk – Consider emergency transition strategies
-
18-24 points: Medium-term risk – Develop 6-18 month transition plan
-
12-17 points: Long-term planning needed – Strategic positioning and skill development
-
Below 12 points: Lower immediate risk – Focus on AI-resistance enhancement