Use this framework to honestly evaluate your situation and determine how urgently you need to act.

Immediate Risk Indicators (Action needed within 3-6 months):

Organizational Warning Signs:

  • “Efficiency initiatives” or “digital transformation” projects recently announced

  • New AI tools or automation software being piloted or implemented in your department

  • Restructuring or “flattening” of organizational hierarchy discussed or planned

  • Budget pressures with emphasis on “doing more with less”

  • Hiring freezes or elimination of open positions in your area

  • Consultants brought in to analyze processes and recommend “improvements”

Role-Specific Risk Factors:

  • 80%+ of your daily tasks involve routine, predictable activities

  • Your work outputs could be measured and replicated by following clear procedures

  • Most of your decisions are based on established rules or guidelines

  • Your role primarily involves data processing, coordination, or basic customer service

  • You rarely interact directly with external customers or clients in complex situations

  • Your expertise is primarily in tools or systems that are being automated

Company Communication Patterns:

  • Leadership frequently mentions AI, automation, or efficiency improvements

  • Your department is being “studied” or “analyzed” by consultants or internal teams

  • New hires in your area have been reduced or eliminated

  • Training focuses on new technologies rather than skill development

  • Your role is being described differently in job postings or organizational charts

Medium-Term Risk Indicators (Action needed within 6-18 months):

Industry-Wide Trends:

  • Your industry is experiencing widespread adoption of AI tools

  • Competitors are publicly announcing AI implementations that affect roles like yours

  • Industry publications frequently discuss automation in your functional area

  • Professional associations are offering retraining programs for your type of role

  • Job postings in your field increasingly require AI collaboration skills

Skill Obsolescence Signals:

  • Younger colleagues are using tools that can do your work faster

  • Your expertise is increasingly available through AI-powered software

  • Training requests for advanced skills in your area are being denied

  • Cross-training opportunities are limited or discouraged

  • Your role is often combined with others or eliminated during turnover

Long-Term Considerations (Planning horizon 1-3+ years):

Strategic Career Positioning:

  • Your industry will likely see major AI transformation, but timeline is unclear

  • Your skills are valuable but need to be repositioned in AI-resistant directions

  • Market opportunities exist for your expertise in alternative career pathways

  • Education or certification could significantly improve your AI-resistance

  • Personal circumstances allow for strategic, planned career transitions

Assessment Questions:

Rate each statement as: High Risk (3 points), Medium Risk (2 points), Low Risk (1 point), Not Applicable (0 points)

  1. My daily tasks are mostly routine and follow established procedures

  2. My role could be described accurately in a detailed job manual

  3. My company is actively implementing AI tools in areas related to my work

  4. Most of my decision-making follows clear rules or guidelines

  5. I rarely deal with unique, unprecedented situations requiring creative solutions

  6. My work primarily involves processing information rather than creating relationships

  7. My department has been “studied” for efficiency improvements in the past year

  8. I could train someone to do most of my job in less than 6 months

  9. My role has been combined with others or eliminated during recent turnover

  10. Leadership frequently mentions automation or AI when discussing our department

Scoring:

  • 25-30 points: Immediate risk – Consider emergency transition strategies

  • 18-24 points: Medium-term risk – Develop 6-18 month transition plan

  • 12-17 points: Long-term planning needed – Strategic positioning and skill development

  • Below 12 points: Lower immediate risk – Focus on AI-resistance enhancement